A publication of Cuba Strategic Partners
Evidence for the transition.
Ideas for the reconstruction.
The Cuba reconstruction question
Research on the transition and reconstruction of a free, post-communist Cuba.
Featured research
OFAC's new Part 516 and revised Part 515 harden two distinct Cuba sanctions systems. Their structure shows which records a democratic transition would need.
AI-assisted scenario analysis
Read the analysisFind your question
Start with a question.
Follow the published evidence.
Who has the authority to rebuild?
Democratic legitimacy, banking, public finance and diaspora participation.
Read the institutional planning briefWhat needs to work on day one?
The transport connections and essential systems a future Cuba would inherit.
Explore the Havana ferry scenarioHow can reconstruction protect rights?
Property claims, transparent procurement and the rules for a legitimate transition.
Read the first-year planning questionsWhat changes the evidence?
Policy pressure, regional relationships and the distinction between announcements and outcomes.
Read the policy analysisFrom the published collection
Future Cuba Blueprint
Six research desks for a possible democratic Cuba: energy, property, logistics, food, tourism and institutions, with evidence tests and a way to contribute.
AI-assisted scenario analysis
Cuba Transition
Washington is tightening sanctions as Cuban-American institutions begin planning for reconstruction. The missing piece is a credible first-year transition plan.
AI-assisted scenario analysis
Geopolitics
The State Department's 100-page Cuba report announces no new action. Read against how Washington built its case before capturing Maduro, it is something more telling: the first move of a sequence Cuba's leaders have already watched play out next door.
The Day-One File
For 47 years, you could drive your car onto a ship in Florida and drive it off in Havana. The route, the demand, and the licenses have all existed before. This file examines what the crossing looks like the day it becomes legal again.
Demand archive
First readings from our proprietary demand archive on the Cuban economy: measured interest up roughly sixteen-fold since February, maritime logistics absorbing about half of all demand, and a news gauge running warm on crisis, not yet on opening.
Historical observations, not a live market feed.
Geopolitics
Colombia just elected a president who gave the ELN a one-month ultimatum, and the guerrilla file runs straight through Havana. The regional architecture that long shielded Cuba is thinning, and it is measurable.
From research to participation
Cuba Strategic Partners is HER's parent. Explore reconstruction questions by sector and region, or express your interest as an investor, operator or researcher.
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Read published briefings in your feed reader. Original dates, named authors and links to the full research.